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Guessing the next word without understanding the meaning of the resulting sentence makes unsupervised LLMs unsuitable for high-stakes tasks. The whole AI bubble is based on convincing investors that one or more of the following is t
Guessing the next word without understanding the meaning of the resulting sentence makes unsupervised LLMs unsuitable for high-stakes tasks. The whole AI bubble is based on convincing investors that one or more of the following is true:
I. There are low-stakes, high-value tasks that will recoup the massive costs of AI training and operation;
II. There are high-stakes, high-value tasks that can be made cheaper by adding an AI to a human operator;
III. Adding more training data to an AI will make it stop hallucinating, so that it can take over high-stakes, high-value tasks without a "human in the loop."
These are dubious propositions. There's a universe of low-stakes, low-value tasks – political disinformation, spam, fraud, academic cheating, nonconsensual porn, dialog for video-game NPCs – but none of them seem likely to generate enough revenue for AI companies to justify the billions spent on models, nor the trillions in valuation attributed to AI companies [...]
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Joakim Braun Sweden Local time: 06:50 German to Swedish + ...
No technology can ever replace the skill of a human spinner (translator?)
Apr 4
There is lots of AI hype and many caveats and possibly insoluble technical problems with it. But dismissing the AI revolution is absurd. It's only year 1 or 2 of the AI-in-the-office age. Lots of investors lost money in the dotcom bubble too, but we're living in a dotcom world now.
Enrique Bjarne Strand Ferrer
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Daryo United Kingdom Local time: 05:50 Serbian to English + ...
The egg and the omelette ...
Apr 5
Joakim Braun wrote:
There is lots of AI hype and many caveats and possibly insoluble technical problems with it. But dismissing the AI revolution is absurd. It's only year 1 or 2 of the AI-in-the-office age. Lots of investors lost money in the dotcom bubble too, but we're living in a dotcom world now.
"You can't get results without making mistakes / you can't make an omelette without braking few eggs" does sound like a sound principle - as long you're not the unwitting egg.
No one would find it acceptable if people buying new cars were used as paying guinea pigs for some half-baked novel "technological marvel". But somehow it's OK with AI?
[Edited at 2024-04-05 05:41 GMT]
Marina Aleyeva
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Joakim Braun Sweden Local time: 06:50 German to Swedish + ...
But
Apr 5
Daryo wrote:
No one would find it acceptable if people buying new cars were used as paying guinea pigs for some half-baked novel "technological marvel". But somehow it's OK with AI?
But that's exactly what is happening with self-driving technology. And the other day much-higher-than-expected maintenance costs of electric vehicles was in the news.
(I'm not dissing those technologies, but they're in a state of flux, just like AI is or any other new, advanced tech in its first few years.)
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Paweł Hamerski Poland Local time: 06:50 English to Polish + ...
mybe interesting but not
Apr 5
here
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